China-Japan relations have become extremely strained since Japan’s new leader, Sanae Takaichi, suggested that a military conflict in the Taiwan Strait might be considered a “survival-threatening situation” for Japan, which would justify the country’s military intervention. This comment became the catalyst for China’s intense reaction, as for Beijing, Japan’s move signifies crossing a “red line.” According to the Chinese ruling party, Takaichi’s statements reflect the “military ambitions” of Japan’s right-wing forces and threaten the balance of power in the region, according to which China is ascending as a superpower. This confrontation also underscores Beijing’s deep-seated concern caused by the increase in defense spending and the intensified military coordination among US allies in Asia.
China’s intense reaction toward Japan, according to analysts, aims to send a warning to the entire system of US allies. Experts note that Beijing is using this confrontation to create a “demonstration effect,” in order to remind other regional actors, including Australia and South Korea, that intervention in the Taiwan issue will lead to severe consequences. Beijing’s message is clear: supporting “Taiwan independence” will cost countries dearly. This is their overt attempt to deter US allies from interfering in China’s internal affairs.
Against this backdrop of tension, Taiwan’s President Lai Ching-te openly expressed support for Japan via social media. The President posted photos of himself eating sushi made from Japanese-sourced seafood, which, according to him, highlights the “firm friendship” between Taiwan and Japan. Taiwan’s Foreign Minister called China’s use of economic coercion and military intimidation against other nations “bullying behavior,” and urged Taiwanese citizens to increase their purchases of Japanese goods. In response, Beijing stated that Taiwan is an inseparable part of China and that the actions of President Lai Ching-te’s administration “cannot change this ironclad fact.”
The conflict was also evident at the diplomatic level. China’s Foreign Ministry confirmed that there are no plans for Chinese Premier Li Qiang to meet with the Japanese leader at the G20 summit. Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Mao Ning strongly demanded that Japan retract its “erroneous remarks,” and emphasized that Japan is obligated to uphold the “one-China principle.” Beijing, as a retaliatory step, postponed the China-Japan-South Korea Culture Ministers’ Meeting because, according to them, Takaichi’s comments undermined the foundation of trilateral cooperation.
Author: Mariam Macharashvili
