In 2024, the trade volume between China and Russia increased significantly. The value of Chinese imports and exports to Russia in 2024 was 1.75 trillion yuan ($237 billion), a record high. The value of China-Russia bilateral trade has reached 244.8 billion dollars in 2024, which is 4 billion more than the previous year.
According to the General Administration of Customs of China, China-Russia yuan-denominated trade value increased by 2.9% in 2024 compared to 2023, although this growth was much slower than in 2023. At the same time, the supply of Chinese goods to Russia in 2024 increased by 5% in yuan terms in 2024 compared to the previous year, which is sharply below the 53.9% increase in 2023.
Such close economic ties between China and Russia have long been a subject of attention for America. Back in July 2024, Biden made a clear statement that China and Xi Jinping would definitely have to be held accountable for providing Russia with a lot of help in the fight against Ukraine.
According to Russian President Vladimir Putin, the main challenge for trade between China and Russia is the agreement on settlement and payment methods for each other. Despite this, Putin emphasized that in 2024 the relations between the two states reached an unprecedented level, which he assessed as a positive process. In his New Year’s greetings to Putin, Chinese President Xi Jinping expressed a similar position and said that China and Russia have always “hand in hand” moved forward in the right direction. Russia’s state news agency RIA also reported a promise made by Moscow’s ambassador to Beijing in December that Xi Jinping would visit Russia in 2025.
Increased trade between China and Russia is due to Western sanctions against Russia. As Alfredo Montuffar-Helou, head of the China Center of the Conference Board, a US-based think tank, states, Russian consumers have fewer alternatives to choose from in the domestic market due to Western sanctions, which increases the demand for Chinese goods. According to his prediction, the trade between these two states will continue in 2025 as well, as China becomes a bigger market for Russian exports, Chinese products fill the deficit caused by the limited supply of products from Western countries to the Russian market.
However, this bilateral trade will face a big test in 2025. On January 10, the US Treasury Department announced the imposition of additional sanctions against the Russian energy sector. The sanctions target Gazprom Neft and Surgutneftegaz, two of Russia’s most important oil producers and exporters, as well as block 183 vessels to cut Moscow’s energy revenues. The States believe that the energy industry is the Kremlin’s main source of income, which allows it to finance military aggression in Ukraine.
Cui Dongshu, the general secretary of the China Passenger Car Association, told Chinese media that in 2025, the export of cars to Russia may even decrease, which is caused by the increase in taxes.
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng during the talks that Chinese firms would face repercussions and consequences if they provided material aid to Russia against Ukraine.
