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China’s expanding footprint in Eurasia; Geopolitics, Trade and Environmental Implications

Civic IDEA is pleased to share the 3rd volume of the collection of articles “China’s Expanding Footprint in Eurasia: Geopolitics, Trade and Environmental Implications”. The collection of articles features the insights of authors, incorporating perspectives and comprehensive views on China’s expanding influence in Central Asia and beyond, shedding light on the complexities and consequences of this dynamic on local and international scales. These articles delve into various aspects of China’s influence and regional dynamics:

  √ Bernadett Szel – “Chinese Influence in Hungary” – This article explores how China’s economic and political presence has grown in Hungary, analyzing the strategies employed by China to establish and expand its influence within the country. Szelexamines the implications of this influence on Hungary’s domestic and foreign policies.

√ Tatyana Sedova – “China’s influence in critical minerals (CM) development in Kazakhstan and Tajikistan” – Sedova delves into China’s role in the critical minerals sector of Kazakhstan and Tajikistan. She discusses how China’s investment and involvement in the development of these minerals are reshaping the industry and affecting the economic and geopolitical landscape of the region.

√ Olzhas Zhorayev – “Perception of China in Central Asian Countries: Trends and Comparative Analysis” – Zhorayevprovides a comparative analysis of how China is perceived across various Central Asian countries. The article identifies trends in public opinion and governmental stances towards China, offering insights into the factors that shape these perceptions and their potential impact on regional cooperation and policy-making.

√ Fuad Shahbazov – “The increasing role of the Middle Corridor in East-West Trade: What Role for Azerbaijan Kazakhstan Partnership?” – Shahbazov’s article focuses on the Middle Corridor, a key trade route connecting East and West through Central Asia. He examines the strategic partnership between Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan in enhancing the corridor’s efficiency and competitiveness and how this partnership is influenced by China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).

√ Vadim Ni – “Will BRI affect public environmental rights in Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan?” – The article investigates the environmental implications of China’s Belt and Road Initiative in Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan. The article addresses concerns about how increased infrastructure projects and economic activities under the BRI might impact public environmental rights and local ecosystems, proposing measures to mitigate potential adverse effects.

For more information, see the attachment below 👇🏻


China's expanding footprint in Eurasia

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Opinion | Georgia’s one-sided relationship with China comes with significant risks

The Georgian Government has increasingly moved to strengthen relations with China, hailing the economic potential of the partnership including high-profile infrastructure projects. But despite the optimism, the relationship has so far remained almost entirely one-sided, and in fact, opens the country up to substantial new risks.

Georgia’s foreign strategic alignment has been profoundly influenced by its geopolitical location, historical context, and aspirations for closer integration with Western institutions such as NATO and the European Union. However, in recent years, China has emerged as a significant player in Georgia’s foreign policy landscape. The two nations have actively sought to strengthen their political relations through a series of high-level visits and agreements, with Chinese initiatives in Georgia progressing at a remarkable pace, marked by significant expansions occurring almost monthly. 

A pivotal moment in Sino-Georgian relations was the issuance of the Strategic Cooperation Statement on 31 July 2023, which heralded a new era of bilateral collaboration. The visit of then–Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Gharibashvili to China in 2023 culminated in this strategic partnership statement aimed at bolstering policy coordination and collaboration on regional and international affairs. 

This partnership has been perceived as a strategic manoeuvre by China to expand its influence in the South Caucasus, a region traditionally regarded by Moscow as within its sphere of influence. The China-Georgia partnership can thus be viewed as part of a larger geopolitical shift in the region. 

The ongoing conflict in Ukraine and the resulting geopolitical realignments have heightened the strategic importance of the South Caucasus. China’s involvement in Georgia could potentially reshape regional dynamics, particularly as it seeks to develop alternative trade routes that bypass Russia, exemplified by projects such as the Middle Corridor, which links China to Europe via Central Asia and the Caucasus.

But despite the deepening Sino-Georgian relationship since 2016, there is no significant economic activity that might be relied upon to reshape the existing dynamics. The progress and developments thus far have been largely one-sided, and the prospects for Georgia’s flagship project for the Middle Corridor, the Anaklia Deep-Sea Port, are not very promising. 

And despite few gains, there are several concerns: from foreign policy to economic collaboration, with the cooperation appearing to be overwhelmingly China-centred in various ways. 

Link 👇

https://oc-media.org/opinions/opinion-georgias-one-sided-relationship-with-china-comes-with-significant-risks

Opinion | Georgia’s one-sided relationship with China comes with significant risks Read More »

Impact of Chinese Investment in Anaklia: Strategic Implications for Georgia and Europe

On May 29, 2024, the Georgian Minister of Economy and Sustainable Development, Levan Davitashvili, announced that the public-private partnership selection process winner for Anaklia port development will be a Chinese-Singaporean consortium. This decision marks a significant shift in Georgia’s Euro-Atlantic aspirations and raises security concerns due to the geopolitical implications of increased Chinese involvement.

CHOICE (China Observers in Central and Eastern Europe) reached out to Civic IDEA to provide expert analysis on the implications of the Anaklia Sea Port project for Georgia and Europe. Lawyer/Researcher Ketevan Gelashvili and researcher Aksana Akhmedova from Civic IDEA have prepared an in-depth article examining every crucial detail on this subject.

Full Link 👇

Impact of Chinese Investment in Anaklia: Strategic Implications for Georgia and Europe Read More »

Georgia’s Investment Landscape: Comparative Analysis of Chinese and Western Investments (2018-2023)

Georgia’s Investment Landscape: Comparative Analysis of Chinese and Western Investments (2018-2023)

We are pleased to announce the release of our report, “Georgia’s Investment Landscape: Comparative Analysis of Chinese and Western Investments (2018-2023)”.

This report uncovers the actual extent of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) investments in Georgia from 2018 to early 2024, demonstrating that Beijing’s economic engagement is significantly less than officially claimed, with investments not exceeding 700 million USD since 2010. The comparative analysis reveals that countries such as the USA, UK, and Netherlands have exhibited substantial and increasing investments in Georgia, particularly in the post-pandemic period. Notably, even EU member countries with smaller economies, such as Malta, have shown a more pronounced increase in their foreign direct investments in Georgia compared to the PRC’s FDI rate.

Read the full report for a clear picture of foreign investment dynamics in Georgia. 👇

Georgia’s Investment Landscape: Comparative Analysis of Chinese and Western Investments (2018-2023)

Georgia’s Investment Landscape: Comparative Analysis of Chinese and Western Investments (2018-2023) Read More »

Geopolitics of Transportation: The Middle Corridor – Trans-Caspian International Route Bypassing Russia

Civic IDEA is delighted to present a comprehensive report on the “Geopolitics of Transportation: The Middle Corridor – Trans-Caspian International Route Bypassing Russia”.

This report delves into the resurgence of the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route (TITR), driven by geopolitical shifts and the necessity for reliable trade routes bypassing Russia. It highlights the economic benefits, the role of key players like the PRC, and the support from Western financial institutions. Additionally, it addresses the infrastructure and logistical challenges that need to be overcome for the Middle Corridor to realize its full potential.

Discover more in the full report below: 👇

Geopolitics of Transportation: The Middle Corridor – Trans-Caspian International Route Bypassing Russia Read More »

Civic IDEA participated at RISS conference

On June 14, 2024, Ani Kintsurashvili, Senior Researcher at Civic IDEA, participated as a speaker in the RISS conference titled “Impact of the War in Ukraine on Russia-China Power Dynamics in Central Asia,” held at the Sheraton Grand Hotel Tbilisi Metekhi Palace. The conference explored how Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has reduced Moscow’s influence in Central Asia, leading regional states to seek new security partners and prompting increased economic presence and rivalry from China.

The conference was part of the ‘Impact of the War in Ukraine on Russia-China Power Dynamics in Central Asia’ project which is conducted by the Regional Institute of Security Studies (RISS), with support from the Russian Strategic Initiative (RSI).

Ms. Kintsurashvili provided a broader analysis of the evolving China-Russia relationship since the onset of the Ukraine war and its implications for Central Asian countries.

Civic IDEA participated at RISS conference Read More »

ANAKLIA PORT – ANOTHER STEP IN SHIFTING FOREIGN POLICY

During a briefing on May 29, 2024, Minister of Economy and Sustainable Development of Georgia, Levan Davitashvili, revealed that China Communication Construction Company Limited and China Harbor Investment, a Chinese-Singaporean consortium would shortly be declared as the winners of the public-private partner selection contest for the Anaklia port construction project. Given the strategic importance of the Anaklia port project, it is particularly significant who is chosen as the winner of this competition. The document briefly overviews the stages and procedures of the procurement in addition to the international market experience and reputation of the potentially winning company, the impact of the Georgian Government’s decision on the country’s interests and its path toward Euro-Atlantic integration. For detailed information, please see the full report below 👇

 

 

ANAKLIA PORT – ANOTHER STEP IN SHIFTING FOREIGN POLICY Read More »

In The Wake of NUCTECH Raids: Evaluating International Fallout and Its Ties with Georgia

Civic IDEA is pleased to share a two-page report, ‘In the Wake of NUCTECH Raids: Evaluating International Fallout and Its Ties with Georgia,’ which overviews the recent scandals involving the Chinese company NUCTECH, emphasizing its notorious reputation and cooperation with Georgian state institutions. 

In-The-Wake-of-NUCTECH-Raids-Evaluating-International-Fallout-and-Its-Ties-with-Georgia

In The Wake of NUCTECH Raids: Evaluating International Fallout and Its Ties with Georgia Read More »

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